2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DAL @ CAR – Week 15 2024
DAL
CAR
DAL
AWAY
30@14
DAL +16
FINAL · WEEK 15
2024 SEASON
CAR
HOME
TIER B
PICK: DAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DAL 62%Projected margin: -1.5
DAL
PICK SIDE
+2.5
SPREAD
-1.5
PROJ MARGIN
+143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DAL. Projected margin: 1.5. Actual: 16. Off by 14.5 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 18.5 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +2.5 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | +143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +120 | Won · +$1.43 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DAL
home_underdog 2-5 ATS (29%)Home Underdog 2-5 ATS (29%)
CAR
home_underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)Home Underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
45°F
WIND
7 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
DAL
C.Lamb
WR
263.4SEASON PPR
R.Dowdle
RB
197.8SEASON PPR
J.Tolbert
WR
152.0SEASON PPR
CAR
C.Hubbard
RB
241.6SEASON PPR
B.Young
QB
195.0SEASON PPR
A.Thielen
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@CARW6 2025 | DAL 27, CAR 30 | DAL | L |
| DAL@CARW11 2023 | DAL 33, CAR 10 | DAL | W |
| CAR@DALW4 2021 | CAR 28, DAL 36 | CAR | L |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES