2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
WAS @ TB – Week 1 2024
WAS
TB
WAS
AWAY
20@37
TB +17
FINAL · WEEK 1
2024 SEASON
TB
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: TB
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: TB 73%Projected margin: 8.0
TB
PICK SIDE
-4.0
SPREAD
8.0
PROJ MARGIN
-178
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
TB A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked TB. Projected margin: 8.0. Actual: 17. Off by 9.0 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 13.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.0 | TB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -178 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -198 | Won · +$0.56 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
No noteworthy trends
TB
divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
93°F
WIND
6 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
WAS
J.Daniels
QB
355.8SEASON PPR
T.McLaurin
WR
267.8SEASON PPR
Z.Ertz
TE
177.4SEASON PPR
TB
B.Mayfield
QB
365.8SEASON PPR
B.Irving
RB
244.4SEASON PPR
M.Evans
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 1
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB@WASW10 2021 | TB 19, WAS 29 | TB | L |
WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES