TIER CPICK: IND
PICK LOSTATS ✓
Model confidence: IND 50%Projected margin: -0.3
GAME NARRATIVE
IND C-tier pick misses. HOU takes it.
MISSED
Model picked IND but HOU won. Projected margin was 0.3 -- the model overestimated by 1.7 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 1.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
HOU
road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Road Favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
IND
divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 1
HOU1 LISTED
IND2 LISTEDHEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS