NFL WEEK 1 2024 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
16 GAMESUPDATED JUL 4, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 10-6 straight up in Week 1 2024.
The most confident pick, the Buffalo Bills at 75%, won 34-28.
Our most confident Week 1 pick is the Buffalo Bills over the Arizona Cardinals, at 75% win probability.
2 of 16 games on the Week 1 slate are effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
Before kickoff
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WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Cincinnati Bengals at 69% win probability lost 10-16.
The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 3-3 (50%) against a 66% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 1 2024 pick is the Buffalo Bills over the Arizona Cardinals, at 75% win probability.
2 of 16 games in Week 1 2024 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 1, 2024, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 10-6 straight up in Week 1 2024.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Cincinnati Bengals at 69% win probability lost 10-16. The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 3-3 (50%) against a 66% all-time rate.