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BAL @ KC · Week 1 2024 · NoPunt
2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
BAL @ KC – Week 1 2024
BAL
KC
BAL
AWAY
20
@
27
KC +7
FINAL · WEEK 1
2024 SEASON
KC
HOME
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TEAM COMPARISON
BAL
METRIC
KC
+0.258
NET EPA/PLAY
+0.037
+0.219
OFF EPA/PLAY
+0.062
-0.039
DEF EPA/PLAY
+0.025
571
POINTS FOR
462
402
POINTS AGAINST
409
47.0%
PASS RATE
60.1%
95.7%
RED ZONE TD%
86.4%
15.5%
4TH DOWN GO%
16.2%
BALANALYTICS →
KCANALYTICS →
BETTING LINE
FIELD
VALUE
NOTES
SPREAD
+3.0
Market line
LIVE ML
—
Last observed market ML
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
BAL
road_favorite 6-2 ATS (75%)
KC
divisional 0-6 ATS (0%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
67°F
WIND
8 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
KC
BAL
KICKOFF
KEY PLAYERS
BAL
L.Jackson
QB
430.4
PPR
D.Henry
RB
336.4
PPR
Z.Flowers
WR
209.5
PPR
KC
P.Mahomes
QB
283.0
PPR
T.Kelce
TE
195.4
PPR
X.Worthy
WR
187.2
PPR
INJURY REPORT
WEEK 1
BAL
3 LISTED
Rasheen Ali
RB · Neck
DOUBTFUL
Kyle Van Noy
LB · gameday concussion protocol evaluation
OUT
Adisa Isaac
LB · Hamstring
OUT
KC
1 LISTED
Marquise Brown
WR · Shoulder
OUT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
LAST 3 MEETINGS
GAME
SCORE
BAL
@
KC
W4 2025
BAL 20, KC 37
KC
@
BAL
W2 2021
—
KC
@
BAL
W3 2020
KC 34, BAL 20
FULL COMPARISON →
BAL ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
KC ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
VS
COMPARE
WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES
NE
@
CIN
16-10
WAS
@
TB
20-37
NYJ
@
SF
19-32
TEN
@
CHI
17-24
GB
@
PHI
29-34
DAL
@
CLE
33-17
DEN
@
SEA
← WEEK 1 PICKS
FULL RESULTS LEDGER →
KC 100%
HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR
BAL ROSTER →
KC ROSTER →
LA
@
DET
JAX
@
MIA
17-20
MIN
@
NYG
28-6
HOU
@
IND
29-27
PIT
@
ATL
18-10
LV
@
LAC
CAR
@
NO
10-47
ARI
@
BUF
28-34
BAL SCHEME RATES
19 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
30.7%
BLITZ RATE
34.3%
MOTION
37.9%
RPO
2.0%
SCREEN
10.1%
NO HUDDLE
4.4%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.2
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON
KC SCHEME RATES
20 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
24.3%
BLITZ RATE
23.8%
MOTION
47.5%
RPO
4.7%
SCREEN
12.5%
NO HUDDLE
1.5%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.2
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON
NEXT GEN STATS
EXP COMP %
74.1%
Lamar Jackson
BAL
TIME TO THROW
2.72s
Patrick Mahomes
KC
SEPARATION
5.0 yds
Isaiah Likely
BAL
RUSH EFFICIENCY
4.0
Derrick Henry
BAL
AGGRESSIVENESS
14.6%
Lamar Jackson
BAL
AVG YAC
11.2 yds
Rashee Rice
KC
GREEN
= ELITE VS LEAGUE
SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS
BAL ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
12.4%
DROP %
5.4%
PRESSURE %
21.8%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
3.0
YAC/ATT
2.3
BROKEN TACKLES
64
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
69.6%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
87.4
MISSED TACKLE %
9.7%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON
KC ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
14.0%
DROP %
4.0%
PRESSURE %
23.8%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
2.7
YAC/ATT
1.4
BROKEN TACKLES
22
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
70.6%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
88.3
MISSED TACKLE %
8.1%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON