2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PIT @ ATL – Week 1 2024
PIT
ATL
PIT
AWAY
18@10
PIT +8
FINAL · WEEK 1
2024 SEASON
ATL
HOME
TIER B
PICK: PIT
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PIT 65%Projected margin: -2.4
PIT
PICK SIDE
+4.0
SPREAD
-2.4
PROJ MARGIN
+178
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PIT B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PIT. Projected margin: 2.4. Actual: 8. Off by 5.6 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 12.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +4.0 | PIT market line | |
| MODEL ML | +178 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +160 | Won · +$1.78 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PIT
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
ATL
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
PIT
N.Harris
RB
204.6SEASON PPR
R.Wilson
QB
172.8SEASON PPR
P.Freiermuth
TE
168.3SEASON PPR
ATL
B.Robinson
RB
341.7SEASON PPR
D.London
WR
280.8SEASON PPR
D.Mooney
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 1
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@ATLW13 2022 | PIT 19, ATL 16 | PIT | W |
WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES