NFL WEEK 18 2023 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
16 GAMESUPDATED JUL 4, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 8-8 straight up in Week 18 2023.
The most confident pick, the Dallas Cowboys at 75%, won 38-10.
Our most confident Week 18 pick is the Dallas Cowboys over the Washington Commanders, at 75% win probability.
1 of 16 games on the Week 18 slate is effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
Before kickoff
Get every week's picks by email, free
Wednesday: our pick and win probability for every game, before kickoff. Tuesday: how they did, wins and losses. Unsubscribe anytime.
WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the San Francisco 49ers at 71% win probability lost 20-21.
The C-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 0-3 (0%) against a 59% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 18 2023 pick is the Dallas Cowboys over the Washington Commanders, at 75% win probability.
1 of 16 games in Week 18 2023 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 18, 2023, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 8-8 straight up in Week 18 2023.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the San Francisco 49ers at 71% win probability lost 20-21. The C-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 0-3 (0%) against a 59% all-time rate.