TIER CPICK: ARI
PICK LOSTATS ✓
Model confidence: ARI 50%Projected margin: -0.5
GAME NARRATIVE
ARI C-tier pick misses. SEA takes it.
MISSED
Model picked ARI but SEA won. Projected margin was 0.5 -- the model overestimated by 0.5 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 1.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ARI
Home Underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 18
SEA8 LISTEDHEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS