2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
JAX @ DET – Week 13 2022
JAX
DET
JAX
AWAY
14@40
DET +26
FINAL · WEEK 13
2022 SEASON
DET
HOME
TIER B
PICK: DET
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DET 61%Projected margin: 2.0
DET
PICK SIDE
-1.0
SPREAD
2.0
PROJ MARGIN
-115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DET B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DET. Projected margin: 2.0. Actual: 26. Off by 24.0 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 25.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.0 | DET market line | |
| MODEL ML | -115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -118 | Won · +$0.87 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
JAX
No noteworthy trends
DET
Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)Home Underdog 4-1 ATS (80%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
JAX
Trevor Lawrence
QB
295.6SEASON PPR
Christian Kirk
WR
241.9SEASON PPR
Travis Etienne
RB
205.1SEASON PPR
DET
Jared Goff
QB
284.3SEASON PPR
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR
267.6SEASON PPR
Jamaal Williams
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX@DETW11 2024 | JAX 6, DET 52 | DET | W |
| DET@JAXW6 2020 | DET 34, JAX 16 | JAX | L |
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES