2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
JAX @ LAC – Week 7 2020
JAX
LAC
JAX
AWAY
29@39
LAC +10
FINAL · WEEK 7
2020 SEASON
LAC
HOME
TIER B
PICK: LAC
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: LAC 55%Projected margin: 3.0
LAC
PICK SIDE
-8.0
SPREAD
3.0
PROJ MARGIN
-316
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LAC. Projected margin: 3.0. Actual: 10. Off by 7.0 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 2.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -8.0 | LAC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -316 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -389 | Won · +$0.32 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
JAX
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
LAC
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
JAX
James Robinson
RB
250.4SEASON PPR
Gardner Minshew
QB
160.7SEASON PPR
Laviska Shenault Jr.
WR
157.1SEASON PPR
LAC
Justin Herbert
QB
332.8SEASON PPR
Keenan Allen
WR
245.1SEASON PPR
Austin Ekeler
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@JAXW11 2025 | LAC 6, JAX 35 | LAC | L |
| JAX@LACW3 2022 | JAX 38, LAC 10 | LAC | L |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES