Eagles vs Cowboys – Week 12 2026
PHI
DAL
PHI
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
THU 4:30 PM
WEEK 12 · 2026 SEASON
AT&T Stadium · Arlington, TX
DAL
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Eagles over the Cowboys at 58% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: PHI 58%Our line: PHI -2.7
80% range around our line: DAL by 15 to PHI by 20. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the PHI game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
PHI —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PHI -2.7
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
PHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
58%
PHI · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
46%
DIFFERENCE
+12%
| SPORTSBOOK | PHI | DAL | PHI WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +105 | -125 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 12 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.196Net EPA / play-0.066
-0.127 (30)Offense EPA / play+0.127 (7)
+0.069 (24)Defense EPA / play+0.193 (32)
36.2% (31)Offense success %47.9% (6)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
PHI is our early forecast in PHI @ DAL (Week 12, 2026). The model assigns 58% confidence and projects PHI by 2.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
The three models split on this game. The majority side is what we publish, and it carries less weight than a unanimous one.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@DALW12 2025 | PHI 21, DAL 24 | PHI | L |
| DAL@PHIW1 2025 | DAL 20, PHI 24 | PHI | W |
| DAL@PHIW17 2024 | DAL 7, PHI 41 | PHI | W |
| PHI@DALW10 2024 | PHI 34, DAL 6 | PHI | W |
| PHI@DALW14 2023 | PHI 13, DAL 33 | DAL | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 12 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSPHI vs DAL
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 58% win probability. The margin models project PHI by 2.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Philadelphia Eagles at 58% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 12 of the 2026 season, THU 4:30 PM.
Dallas Cowboys, PHI 21, DAL 24 in Week 12 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Dallas Cowboys: PHI -0.196 against DAL -0.066.
