LV @ CLE – Week 12 2026
LV
CLE
LV
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 12 · 2026 SEASON
CLE
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: CLE 68%Projected margin: -4.7
CLE
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-4.7
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.240Net EPA / play-0.094
-0.215Offense EPA / play-0.190
+0.024Defense EPA / play-0.096
37.6%Offense success %34.5%
45.0%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
CLE is our early forecast in LV @ CLE (Week 12, 2026). The model assigns 67.7% confidence and projects CLE by 4.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | CLE market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
LV
A.Jeanty
RB
245.1SEASON PPR
B.Bowers
TE
176.2SEASON PPR
G.Smith
QB
173.9SEASON PPR
CLE
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Las Vegas RaidersPASSING
G.Smith3025 yd · 19 TD · 17 INT
RUSHING
A.Jeanty975 yd · 5 TD
G.Smith109 yd · 0 TD
R.Mostert104 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
T.Tucker57 rec · 696 yd · 5 TD
B.Bowers64 rec · 680 yd · 7 TD
J.Meyers33 rec · 352 yd · 0 TD
A.Jeanty55 rec · 346 yd · 5 TD
VS
3,025PASSyds1,400
1,188RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 4 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@LVW12 2025 | CLE 24, LV 10 | LV | L |
| CLE@LVW4 2024 | CLE 16, LV 20 | LV | W |
| LV@CLEW15 2021 | LV 16, CLE 14 | CLE | L |
| LV@CLEW8 2020 | LV 16, CLE 6 | CLE | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSLV vs CLE
Who is favored in Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns?
Our model takes Cleveland Browns at 68% win probability. The margin models project CLE by 4.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Las Vegas Raiders and Cleveland Browns play?
Week 12 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns game?
Cleveland Browns, 24-10 in Week 12 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Las Vegas Raiders or the Cleveland Browns?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Cleveland Browns: LV -0.240 against CLE -0.094.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
