Giants vs Colts – Week 12 2026
NYG
IND
NYG
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 12 · 2026 SEASON
Lucas Oil Stadium · Indianapolis, IN
IND
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Colts over the Giants at 61% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: IND 61%Our line: IND -3.9
80% range around our line: NYG by 13 to IND by 21. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the IND game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
IND —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
IND -3.9
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
IND · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
61%
IND · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
55%
DIFFERENCE
+6%
| SPORTSBOOK | NYG | IND | IND WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +114 | -135 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 12 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.054Net EPA / play-0.150
-0.019 (17)Offense EPA / play-0.051 (22)
+0.036 (22)Defense EPA / play+0.099 (27)
42.1% (20)Offense success %42.2% (19)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
IND is our early forecast in NYG @ IND (Week 12, 2026). The model assigns 61% confidence and projects IND by 3.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
All three models picked this side. The tier above is a separate read: it reflects how big a margin they project, not how many agreed.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
NYG
I.Likely
TE
85.4 SEASON PPR
M.Nabers
WR
73.9 SEASON PPR
J.Winston
QB
52.4 SEASON PPR
IND
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
New York GiantsPASSING
J.Winston805 yd · 6 TD · 3 INT
RECEIVING
M.Nabers29 rec · 329 yd · 2 TD
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND@NYGW17 2024 | IND 33, NYG 45 | IND | L |
| IND@NYGW17 2022 | IND 10, NYG 38 | NYG | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 12 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs IND
Our model takes Indianapolis Colts at 61% win probability. The margin models project IND by 3.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Indianapolis Colts at 61% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 12 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
New York Giants, IND 33, NYG 45 in Week 17 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, New York Giants: NYG -0.054 against IND -0.150.
