NYG @ IND – Week 12 2026
NYG
IND
NYG
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 12 · 2026 SEASON
IND
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: IND 65%Projected margin: -3.4
IND
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-3.4
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.075Net EPA / play+0.068
+0.012Offense EPA / play+0.072
+0.087Defense EPA / play+0.004
42.1%Offense success %46.3%
47.0%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: IND at 65%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
IND generates 0.072 EPA/play on offense. NYG's defense allows 0.087. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
IND goes for it on 4th down 26% of the time -- among the most aggressive in the NFL.
RED ZONE
IND converts 95% in the red zone vs 73% for NYG. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
Net-positive signal profile for IND. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | IND market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
NYG
J.Dart
QB
241.6SEASON PPR
W.Robinson
WR
217.9SEASON PPR
T.Tracy
RB
160.8SEASON PPR
IND
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
New York GiantsPASSING
J.Dart2272 yd · 15 TD · 5 INT
RUSHING
T.Tracy740 yd · 2 TD
J.Dart487 yd · 9 TD
D.Singletary437 yd · 5 TD
RECEIVING
W.Robinson92 rec · 1014 yd · 4 TD
D.Slayton37 rec · 538 yd · 1 TD
T.Johnson45 rec · 528 yd · 5 TD
T.Tracy36 rec · 288 yd · 2 TD
VS
2,272PASSyds3,101
1,664RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND@NYGW17 2024 | IND 33, NYG 45 | IND | L |
| IND@NYGW17 2022 | IND 10, NYG 38 | NYG | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs IND
Who is favored in New York Giants at Indianapolis Colts?
Our model takes Indianapolis Colts at 65% win probability. The margin models project IND by 3.4. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the New York Giants and Indianapolis Colts play?
Week 12 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts game?
New York Giants, 33-45 in Week 17 of 2024.
Which team has been better, the New York Giants or the Indianapolis Colts?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Indianapolis Colts: NYG -0.075 against IND +0.068.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
