Saints vs Bengals – Week 12 2026
NO
CIN
NO
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 12 · 2026 SEASON
Paycor Stadium · Cincinnati, OH
CIN
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Bengals over the Saints at 70% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: CIN 70%Our line: CIN -7.1
80% range around our line: NO by 10 to CIN by 24. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the CIN game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
CIN —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
CIN -7.1
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
CIN · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
70%
CIN · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
72%
DIFFERENCE
-2%
| SPORTSBOOK | NO | CIN | CIN WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +230 | -285 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 12 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.148Net EPA / play+0.102
-0.054 (23)Offense EPA / play+0.072 (10)
+0.094 (26)Defense EPA / play-0.030 (13)
43.1% (15)Offense success %47.1% (8)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: CIN at 70%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
CIN generates 0.072 EPA/play on offense. NO's defense allows 0.094. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 7.1-point margin.
Net-positive signal profile for CIN. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN@NOW6 2022 | CIN 30, NO 26 | CIN | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 12 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNO vs CIN
Our model takes Cincinnati Bengals at 70% win probability. The margin models project CIN by 7.1. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Cincinnati Bengals at 70% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 12 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Cincinnati Bengals, CIN 30, NO 26 in Week 6 of 2022.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Cincinnati Bengals: NO -0.148 against CIN +0.102.
