NFL WEEK 12 2026 PREDICTIONS & PICKS

Q: Who is the safest NFL pick in Week 12 2026?

Our safest Week 12 2026 pick is the Jacksonville Jaguars over the Tennessee Titans, at 84% win probability.

Q: Which Week 12 2026 NFL games are toss-ups?

2 of 16 games in Week 12 2026 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.

Q: What are NoPunt's Week 12 2026 NFL picks?

NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 12, 2026, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.

Q: What is the safest NFL survivor pick for Week 12?

For survivor pools, our model's safest Week 12 pick is the Jacksonville Jaguars over the Tennessee Titans, at 84% win probability.

16 GAMES

UPDATED NOV 7, 2026

THE SHORT ANSWER

Our most confident Week 12 pick is the Jacksonville Jaguars over the Tennessee Titans, at 84% win probability.

2 of 16 games on the Week 12 slate are effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.

For survivor pools, the safest pick of the week is the Jacksonville Jaguars over the Tennessee Titans, at 84% win probability.

Before kickoff

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Wednesday: our pick and win probability for every game, before kickoff. Tuesday: how they did, wins and losses. Unsubscribe anytime.

← W11 2026 ALL RESULTS W13 2026→

PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.

EARLY FORECAST · no betting lines are posted for this week yet. These are model projections, not graded picks, and they regenerate every Wednesday.

FILTER

LINE NOT POSTED

TEN @ JAX

SUN 4:05 PM

PICK

JAX

CONF

84%

LINE NOT POSTED

NE @ LAC

SUN 8:20 PM

PICK

CONF

76%

LINE NOT POSTED

KC @ BUF

THU 8:20 PM

PICK

BUF

CONF

74%

LINE NOT POSTED

NO @ CIN

SUN 1:00 PM

PICK

CIN

CONF

72%

LINE NOT POSTED

BAL @ HOU

SUN 1:00 PM

PICK

HOU

CONF

69%

LINE NOT POSTED

CAR @ TB

MON 8:15 PM

PICK

CONF

68%

LINE NOT POSTED

GB @ LAR

WED 8:00 PM

PICK

CONF

67%

LINE NOT POSTED

LV @ CLE

SUN 1:00 PM

PICK

CLE

CONF

66%

LINE NOT POSTED

PHI @ DAL

THU 4:30 PM

PICK

DAL

CONF

65%

LINE NOT POSTED

SEA @ SF

SUN 4:25 PM

PICK

CONF

65%

LINE NOT POSTED

ATL @ MIN

SUN 1:00 PM

PICK

MIN

CONF

65%

LINE NOT POSTED

NYG @ IND

SUN 1:00 PM

PICK

NYG

CONF

60%

LINE NOT POSTED

NYJ @ MIA

SUN 1:00 PM

PICK

MIA

CONF

62%

LINE NOT POSTED

DEN @ PIT

FRI 3:00 PM

PICK

PIT

CONF

59%

LINE NOT POSTED

CHI @ DET

THU 1:00 PM

PICK

CHI

CONF

50%

LINE NOT POSTED

WAS @ ARI

SUN 4:25 PM

PICK

WAS

CONF

50%

QUESTIONS

Who is the safest NFL pick in Week 12 2026?

Which Week 12 2026 NFL games are toss-ups?

What are NoPunt's Week 12 2026 NFL picks?

What is the safest NFL survivor pick for Week 12?

WHAT CHANGED SINCE WEDNESDAY

Bears at Lions: pick moved from Lions (59%) to Bears (58%).
Patriots at Chargers: win probability moved from 77% to 74%; tier moved from A+ to A.
Raiders at Browns: win probability moved from 67% to 72%; tier moved from B to A.
Packers at Rams: win probability moved from 62% to 68%; tier moved from C to B.
Giants at Colts: pick moved from Colts (61%) to Giants (50%); tier moved from B to C.
Jets at Dolphins: win probability moved from 60% to 63%.
Falcons at Vikings: win probability moved from 71% to 69%.
Ravens at Texans: win probability moved from 63% to 64%.
Bears at Lions: pick moved from Bears (58%) to Lions (60%).
Chiefs at Bills: win probability moved from 67% to 70%.
Broncos at Steelers: pick moved from Broncos (60%) to Steelers (50%).
Saints at Bengals: win probability moved from 67% to 71%; tier moved from B to A.
Commanders at Cardinals: pick moved from Cardinals (61%) to Commanders (50%).
Seahawks at 49ers: win probability moved from 68% to 61%; tier moved from B to C.
Panthers at Buccaneers: pick moved from Panthers (61%) to Buccaneers (63%); tier moved from C to B.
Eagles at Cowboys: win probability moved from 59% to 65%; tier moved from C to B.
Patriots at Chargers: tier moved from A to A+.
Patriots at Chargers: tier moved from A+ to A.
Packers at Rams: win probability moved from 68% to 65%.
Patriots at Chargers: tier moved from A to A+.
Panthers at Buccaneers: win probability moved from 63% to 65%.
Patriots at Chargers: win probability moved from 74% to 74%; tier moved from A+ to A.
Raiders at Browns: win probability moved from 72% to 66%; tier moved from A to B.
Packers at Rams: win probability moved from 65% to 68%.
Giants at Colts: win probability moved from 50% to 60%; tier moved from C to B.
Falcons at Vikings: win probability moved from 69% to 65%.
Ravens at Texans: win probability moved from 64% to 68%.
Bears at Lions: win probability moved from 60% to 61%; tier moved from C to B.
Chiefs at Bills: win probability moved from 70% to 74%; tier moved from B to A.
Broncos at Steelers: win probability moved from 50% to 59%.
Patriots at Chargers: win probability moved from 74% to 76%; tier moved from A to A+.
Panthers at Buccaneers: win probability moved from 65% to 68%.
Bears at Lions: pick moved from Lions (61%) to Bears (50%); tier moved from B to C.
Seahawks at 49ers: win probability moved from 61% to 65%; tier moved from C to B.
Titans at Jaguars: win probability moved from 82% to 84%.

SURVIVORSafest pick: Jacksonville Jaguars over Tennessee Titans, 84% win probability.FULL SURVIVOR BOARD →

Before kickoff

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Wednesday: our pick and win probability for every game, before kickoff. Tuesday: how they did, wins and losses. Unsubscribe anytime.

ALL-TIME RECORD1145-585-6every pick since 2020, 2020-2025 a walk-forward backtest.SEASON-BY-SEASON →

NOPUNT PRO

Get this week's Edge plays

The Edge picks. The games our model flags as bets each week, with unit sizing set to your own unit.
The Board and line movement. Our number beside every book's, sorted by how far apart they are, with the price history behind each one.
Survivor planner and tracker. Our pick from the teams you have left, and a path to Week 18 that spends the rest in the right order.
Player prop projections. Per-player projections with a matchup grade on each, for every game on the slate.

Every pick on the site, 2026 so far: 75-45-1 straight up (captured before kickoff). See every pick

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