NFL WEEK 11 2026 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
13 GAMESUPDATED SEP 24, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our most confident Week 11 pick is the Buffalo Bills over the Miami Dolphins, at 81% win probability.
1 of 13 games on the Week 11 slate is effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
For survivor pools, the safest pick of the week is the Buffalo Bills over the Miami Dolphins, at 81% win probability.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
EARLY FORECAST · no betting lines are posted for this week yet. These are model projections, not graded picks, and they regenerate every Wednesday.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 11 2026 pick is the Buffalo Bills over the Miami Dolphins, at 81% win probability.
1 of 13 games in Week 11 2026 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 11, 2026, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
For survivor pools, our model's safest Week 11 pick is the Buffalo Bills over the Miami Dolphins, at 81% win probability.