CIN @ WAS – Week 11 2026
CIN
WAS
CIN
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
MON 8:15 PM
WEEK 11 · 2026 SEASON
WAS
HOME
Model confidence: CIN 61%Projected margin: -0.2
CIN
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-0.2
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.138Net EPA / play-0.137
-0.009Offense EPA / play+0.005
+0.130Defense EPA / play+0.142
45.5%Offense success %45.6%
47.8%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
CIN is our early forecast in CIN @ WAS (Week 11, 2026). The model assigns 61.1% confidence and projects CIN by 0.2. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
Split. The model leans this way with less conviction.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | CIN market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CIN
J.Chase
WR
313.6SEASON PPR
C.Brown
RB
282.6SEASON PPR
T.Higgins
WR
211.6SEASON PPR
WAS
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Cincinnati BengalsPASSING
J.Burrow1809 yd · 17 TD · 5 INT
RUSHING
C.Brown1019 yd · 6 TD
S.Perine382 yd · 3 TD
T.Brooks45 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
J.Chase125 rec · 1412 yd · 8 TD
T.Higgins59 rec · 846 yd · 11 TD
C.Brown69 rec · 437 yd · 5 TD
A.Iosivas33 rec · 435 yd · 2 TD
VS
1,809PASSyds1,695
1,446RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@CINW3 2024 | WAS 38, CIN 33 | CIN | L |
| CIN@WASW11 2020 | CIN 9, WAS 20 | CIN | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSCIN vs WAS
Who is favored in Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Commanders?
Our model takes Cincinnati Bengals at 61% win probability. The margin models project CIN by 0.2. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Cincinnati Bengals and Washington Commanders play?
Week 11 of the 2026 season, MON 8:15 PM.
Who won the last Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders game?
Washington Commanders, 38-33 in Week 3 of 2024.
Which team has been better, the Cincinnati Bengals or the Washington Commanders?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Washington Commanders: CIN -0.138 against WAS -0.137.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
