TIER CPICK: CIN
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: CIN 51%Projected margin: -1.9
GAME NARRATIVE
CIN C-tier pick misses. WAS takes it.
MISSED
Model picked CIN but WAS won. Projected margin was 1.9 -- the model overestimated by 12.9 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 9.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 11
CIN6 LISTEDMike Thomas
WR · Hamstring
QUESTIONABLE
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS