2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYJ @ LAC – Week 11 2020
NYJ
LAC
NYJ
AWAY
28@34
LAC +6
FINAL · WEEK 11
2020 SEASON
LAC
HOME
TIER B
PICK: LAC
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: LAC 59%Projected margin: 4.3
LAC
PICK SIDE
-10.0
SPREAD
4.3
PROJ MARGIN
-422
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected LAC by 4.3. Actual: 6 points. The model was within 1.7 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 4.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -10.0 | LAC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -422 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -425 | Won · +$0.24 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYJ
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
LAC
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
NYJ
Jamison Crowder
WR
172.0SEASON PPR
Sam Darnold
QB
134.0SEASON PPR
Frank Gore
RB
100.2SEASON PPR
LAC
Justin Herbert
QB
332.8SEASON PPR
Keenan Allen
WR
245.1SEASON PPR
Austin Ekeler
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 11
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@NYJW9 2023 | LAC 27, NYJ 6 | LAC | W |
WEEK 11 · OTHER GAMES