Jets vs Chargers – Week 11 2026
NYJ
LAC
NYJ
AWAY
@
SUN 4:05 PM
WEEK 11 · 2026 SEASON
SoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA
LAC
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Chargers over the Jets at 64% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: LAC 64%Our line: LAC -4.7
80% range around our line: NYJ by 13 to LAC by 22. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the LAC game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
LAC —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
LAC -4.7
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
LAC · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
64%
LAC · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
79%
DIFFERENCE
-15%
| SPORTSBOOK | NYJ | LAC | LAC WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +330 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 11 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
+0.037Net EPA / play-0.150
-0.025 (20)Offense EPA / play-0.207 (32)
-0.062 (5)Defense EPA / play-0.057 (6)
42.8% (16)Offense success %37.8% (29)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
LAC is our early forecast in NYJ @ LAC (Week 11, 2026). The model assigns 64% confidence and projects LAC by 4.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
All three models picked this side. The tier above is a separate read: it reflects how big a margin they project, not how many agreed.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
LAC
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@NYJW9 2023 | LAC 27, NYJ 6 | LAC | W |
| NYJ@LACW11 2020 | NYJ 28, LAC 34 | LAC | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 11 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYJ vs LAC
Our model takes Los Angeles Chargers at 64% win probability. The margin models project LAC by 4.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Los Angeles Chargers at 64% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 11 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Los Angeles Chargers, LAC 27, NYJ 6 in Week 9 of 2023.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, New York Jets: NYJ +0.037 against LAC -0.150.
