Titans vs Cowboys – Week 11 2026
TEN
DAL
TEN
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 11 · 2026 SEASON
AT&T Stadium · Arlington, TX
DAL
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Cowboys over the Titans at 72% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: DAL 72%Our line: DAL -7.9
80% range around our line: TEN by 9 to DAL by 25. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the DAL game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
DAL —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
DAL -7.9
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
DAL · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
72%
DAL · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
72%
DIFFERENCE
+0%
| SPORTSBOOK | TEN | DAL | DAL WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +235 | -290 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 11 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.228Net EPA / play-0.066
-0.149 (31)Offense EPA / play+0.127 (7)
+0.078 (25)Defense EPA / play+0.193 (32)
40.5% (25)Offense success %47.9% (6)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: DAL at 72%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
DAL generates 0.127 EPA/play on offense. TEN's defense allows 0.078. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
RED ZONE
DAL converts 73% in the red zone vs 45% for TEN. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
DRIVE EFF
DAL scores 2.5 points per drive vs 0.9 for TEN. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 7.9-point margin.
Multiple signals align in DAL's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DAL
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@TENW17 2022 | DAL 27, TEN 13 | DAL | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 11 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSTEN vs DAL
Our model takes Dallas Cowboys at 72% win probability. The margin models project DAL by 7.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Dallas Cowboys at 72% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 11 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Dallas Cowboys, DAL 27, TEN 13 in Week 17 of 2022.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Dallas Cowboys: TEN -0.228 against DAL -0.066.
