2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DAL @ TEN – Week 17 2022
DAL
TEN
DAL
AWAY
27@13
DAL +14
FINAL · WEEK 17
2022 SEASON
TEN
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: DAL
PICK WONATS PUSH
Model confidence: DAL 78%Projected margin: -7.9
DAL
PICK SIDE
-14.0
SPREAD
-7.9
PROJ MARGIN
-750
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
PUSH
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DAL. Projected margin: 7.9. Actual: 14. Off by 6.1 points but directionally right.
PUSH
Final margin landed exactly on the spread (-14.0). Push -- no winner ATS.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -14.0 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -750 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -741 | Won · +$0.13 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DAL
Road Favorite 1-3 ATS (25%)
TEN
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
56°F
WIND
4 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
DAL
CeeDee Lamb
WR
301.6SEASON PPR
Tony Pollard
RB
248.8SEASON PPR
Dak Prescott
QB
198.6SEASON PPR
TEN
Derrick Henry
RB
302.8SEASON PPR
Ryan Tannehill
QB
161.2SEASON PPR
Robert Woods
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES