2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CHI @ DET – Week 17 2022
CHI
DET
CHI
AWAY
10@41
DET +31
FINAL · WEEK 17
2022 SEASON
DET
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: DET
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DET 76%Projected margin: 7.5
DET
PICK SIDE
-4.5
SPREAD
7.5
PROJ MARGIN
-191
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DET A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DET. Projected margin: 7.5. Actual: 31. Off by 23.5 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 26.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.5 | DET market line | |
| MODEL ML | -191 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -219 | Won · +$0.52 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CHI
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
DET
Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)Home Underdog 4-1 ATS (80%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
CHI
Justin Fields
QB
296.0SEASON PPR
David Montgomery
RB
177.7SEASON PPR
Cole Kmet
TE
147.3SEASON PPR
DET
Jared Goff
QB
284.3SEASON PPR
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR
267.6SEASON PPR
Jamaal Williams
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET@CHIW18 2025 | DET 19, CHI 16 | CHI | L |
| CHI@DETW2 2025 | CHI 21, DET 52 | DET | W |
| DET@CHIW16 2024 | DET 34, CHI 17 | DET | W |
| CHI@DETW13 2024 | CHI 20, DET 23 | DET | W |
| DET@CHIW14 2023 | DET 13, CHI 28 | DET | L |
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES