2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SF @ LV – Week 17 2022
SF
LV
SF
AWAY
37@34
SF +3
FINAL · WEEK 17
2022 SEASON
LV
HOME
TIER B
PICK: SF
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: SF 67%Projected margin: -4.2
SF
PICK SIDE
-10.0
SPREAD
-4.2
PROJ MARGIN
-422
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SF B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected SF by 4.2. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 1.2 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 7.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -10.0 | SF market line | |
| MODEL ML | -422 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -453 | Won · +$0.24 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SF
Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)
LV
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
SF
Christian McCaffrey
RB
238.4SEASON PPR
Brandon Aiyuk
WR
227.8SEASON PPR
George Kittle
TE
200.5SEASON PPR
LV
Davante Adams
WR
335.5SEASON PPR
Josh Jacobs
RB
328.3SEASON PPR
Derek Carr
QB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES