2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYJ @ SEA – Week 17 2022
NYJ
SEA
NYJ
AWAY
6@23
SEA +17
FINAL · WEEK 17
2022 SEASON
SEA
HOME
TIER B
PICK: SEA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SEA 62%Projected margin: 2.3
SEA
PICK SIDE
+1.0
SPREAD
2.3
PROJ MARGIN
+115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 2.3. Actual: 17. Off by 14.7 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 18.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.0 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | +115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +102 | Won · +$1.15 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYJ
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)
SEA
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
45°F
WIND
2 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
NYJ
Garrett Wilson
WR
215.7SEASON PPR
Tyler Conklin
TE
131.5SEASON PPR
Michael Carter
RB
126.0SEASON PPR
SEA
Geno Smith
QB
303.9SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
239.3SEASON PPR
DK Metcalf
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@NYJW13 2024 | SEA 26, NYJ 21 | SEA | W |
| NYJ@SEAW14 2020 | NYJ 3, SEA 40 | SEA | W |
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES