Jets vs Seahawks – Week 17 2022
NYJ
SEA
NYJ
AWAY
6@23
SEA BY 17
FINAL · WEEK 17
2022 SEASON
Lumen Field · Seattle, WA
SEA
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New York Jets 6, Seattle Seahawks 23.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 62% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 2 Jets, 1 Seahawks.
Model confidence: SEA 62%Our line: SEA -4.2
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA +1.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -4.2
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
62%
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 17
-0.036Net EPA / play-0.023
-0.087 (27)Offense EPA / play-0.003 (18)
-0.051 (8)Defense EPA / play+0.020 (25)
39.0% (30)Offense success %44.2% (17)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 4.2. Actual: 17. Off by 12.8 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 18.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
NYJ
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)
SEA
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
45°F
WIND
2 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
SEA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
New York JetsPASSING
Zach Wilson1688 yd · 6 TD · 7 INT
RECEIVING
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@NYJW13 2024 | SEA 26, NYJ 21 | SEA | W |
| NYJ@SEAW14 2020 | NYJ 3, SEA 40 | SEA | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYJ vs SEA
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 62% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project SEA by 4.2. The market has SEA at +1.0.
Seattle Seahawks won, NYJ 6, SEA 23. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 62% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at +1.0, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 1.0 points.
In Week 17, the New York Jets were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Seattle Seahawks were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 43.0 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 45.6, 2.6 above the market.
Week 17 of the 2022 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, SEA 26, NYJ 21 in Week 13 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, Seattle Seahawks: NYJ -0.036 against SEA -0.023.
