Ravens vs Panthers – Week 11 2026
BAL
CAR
BAL
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 11 · 2026 SEASON
Bank of America Stadium · Charlotte, NC
CAR
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Ravens over the Panthers at 64% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: BAL 64%Our line: BAL -4.9
80% range around our line: CAR by 12 to BAL by 22. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the BAL game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
BAL —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
BAL -4.9
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
BAL · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
64%
BAL · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
66%
DIFFERENCE
-2%
| SPORTSBOOK | BAL | CAR | BAL WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -218 | +180 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 11 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
Early season: 4 games played for at least one team. These numbers and ranks will move fast.
+0.168Net EPA / play+0.087
+0.151 (5)Offense EPA / play+0.115 (8)
-0.017 (16)Defense EPA / play+0.028 (21)
50.7% (2)Offense success %44.1%
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
BAL is our early forecast in BAL @ CAR (Week 11, 2026). The model assigns 64% confidence and projects BAL by 4.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
All three models picked this side. The tier above is a separate read: it reflects how big a margin they project, not how many agreed.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR@BALW11 2022 | CAR 3, BAL 13 | BAL | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 11 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSBAL vs CAR
Our model takes Baltimore Ravens at 64% win probability. The margin models project BAL by 4.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Baltimore Ravens at 64% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 11 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Baltimore Ravens, CAR 3, BAL 13 in Week 11 of 2022.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Baltimore Ravens: BAL +0.168 against CAR +0.087.
