2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PHI @ CLE – Week 11 2020
PHI
CLE
PHI
AWAY
17@22
CLE +5
FINAL · WEEK 11
2020 SEASON
CLE
HOME
TIER B
PICK: CLE
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CLE 59%Projected margin: 2.8
CLE
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
2.8
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected CLE by 2.8. Actual: 5 points. The model was within 2.2 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 2.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | CLE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -135 | Won · +$0.70 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
CLE
Windy 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 0-6 ATS (0%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
38°F
WIND
8 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
PHI
Carson Wentz
QB
198.4SEASON PPR
Miles Sanders
RB
170.4SEASON PPR
Greg Ward
WR
133.1SEASON PPR
CLE
Baker Mayfield
QB
248.6SEASON PPR
Kareem Hunt
RB
218.5SEASON PPR
Nick Chubb
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 11
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@PHIW6 2024 | CLE 16, PHI 20 | PHI | W |
WEEK 11 · OTHER GAMES