2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ PHI – Week 6 2024
CLE
PHI
CLE
AWAY
16@20
PHI +4
FINAL · WEEK 6
2024 SEASON
PHI
HOME
TIER A
PICK: PHI
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: PHI 72%Projected margin: 5.7
PHI
PICK SIDE
-8.0
SPREAD
5.7
PROJ MARGIN
-316
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected PHI by 5.7. Actual: 4 points. The model was within 1.7 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 10 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 4.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -8.0 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -316 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -425 | Won · +$0.32 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)home_underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)Home Underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)
PHI
divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
82°F
WIND
10 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
CLE
J.Jeudy
WR
240.9SEASON PPR
D.Njoku
TE
148.5SEASON PPR
J.Ford
RB
134.0SEASON PPR
PHI
S.Barkley
RB
355.3SEASON PPR
J.Hurts
QB
315.1SEASON PPR
A.Brown
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@CLEW11 2020 | PHI 17, CLE 22 | CLE | W |
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES