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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

HOU

HOU

AWAY

41@21

HOU +20

FINAL · WEEK 6

2024 SEASON

HOME

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Our team, side, tier, confidence and projected margin for HOU @ NE are part of NoPunt Pro. One free Pick of the Week is open to everyone — the rest unlock with Pro.

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TEAM COMPARISON

HOU	METRIC	NE
+0.037	NET EPA/PLAY	-0.153
-0.045	OFF EPA/PLAY	-0.083
-0.082	DEF EPA/PLAY	+0.070
418	POINTS FOR	289
407	POINTS AGAINST	417
59.0%	PASS RATE	57.1%
72.0%	RED ZONE TD%	66.7%
14.3%	4TH DOWN GO%	19.2%

HOUANALYTICS →NEANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	-6.5		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

42.7

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

HOU

road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)

NE

No noteworthy trends

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

OUTDOOR

TEMP

53°F

WIND

5 MPH

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

HOU

J.Mixon

RB

240.5PPR

C.Stroud

QB

220.4PPR

N.Collins

WR

210.6PPR

NE

D.Maye

QB

177.1PPR

R.Stevenson

RB

175.9PPR

D.Douglas

WR

147.7PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 6

HOU6 LISTED

Robert Woods

WR · Foot

OUT

Jimmie Ward

S · Groin

OUT

Kamari Lassiter

CB · Shoulder

OUT

Derek Barnett

DE · Shoulder

QUESTIONABLE

Joe Mixon

RB · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
NE@HOUW5 2021	NE 25, HOU 22
NE@HOUW11 2020	NE 20, HOU 27

FULL COMPARISON →

HOU ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

NE ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES

CLE@PHI

16-20

WAS@BAL

23-30

ARI@GB

13-34

JAX@CHI

16-35

DET@DAL

47-9

IND@TEN

20-17

BUF@NYJ

23-20

← WEEK 6 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Kurt Hinish

DT · Calf

QUESTIONABLE

NE12 LISTED

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · Foot

OUT

Kendrick Bourne

WR · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Sione Takitaki

LB · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Nick Leverett

C · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

Anfernee Jennings

LB · Shoulder

QUESTIONABLE

Kyle Dugger

S · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

K.J. Osborn

WR · Shoulder

QUESTIONABLE

Marco Wilson

CB · Groin

QUESTIONABLE

Marcus Jones

CB · Groin

QUESTIONABLE

Isaiah Bolden

CB · Hamstring

QUESTIONABLE

Joe Cardona

LS · Calf

QUESTIONABLE

Layden Robinson

G · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

HOU SCHEME RATES

19 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

26.1%

BLITZ RATE

27.8%

MOTION

44.4%

RPO

1.6%

SCREEN

9.9%

NO HUDDLE

4.5%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NE SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

21.4%

BLITZ RATE

29.4%

MOTION

31.1%

RPO

5.3%

SCREEN

10.8%

NO HUDDLE

8.6%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

63.2%

C.J. StroudHOU

TIME TO THROW

2.83s

C.J. StroudHOU

SEPARATION

3.5 yds

Hunter HenryNE

RUSH EFFICIENCY

2.6

Joe MixonHOU

AGGRESSIVENESS

18.2%

Drake MayeNE

AVG YAC

10.2 yds

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

HOU ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

19.7%

DROP %

3.7%

PRESSURE %

22.6%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.9

YAC/ATT

1.5

BROKEN TACKLES

35

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

61.9%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

80.5

MISSED TACKLE %

14.2%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

NE ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

26.2%

DROP %

5.1%

PRESSURE %

22.9%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.8

YAC/ATT

1.7

BROKEN TACKLES

28

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

70.6%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

87.6

MISSED TACKLE %

8.7%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

HOU @ NE – Week 6 2024