2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ATL @ CAR – Week 6 2024
ATL
CAR
ATL
AWAY
38@20
ATL +18
FINAL · WEEK 6
2024 SEASON
CAR
HOME
TIER A
PICK: ATL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: ATL 70%Projected margin: -5.4
ATL
PICK SIDE
-6.0
SPREAD
-5.4
PROJ MARGIN
-237
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ATL A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked ATL. Projected margin: 5.4. Actual: 18. Off by 12.6 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 12.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.0 | ATL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -237 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -258 | Won · +$0.42 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ATL
No noteworthy trends
CAR
home_underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)Home Underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
79°F
WIND
9 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
ATL
B.Robinson
RB
341.7SEASON PPR
D.London
WR
280.8SEASON PPR
D.Mooney
WR
193.2SEASON PPR
CAR
C.Hubbard
RB
241.6SEASON PPR
B.Young
QB
195.0SEASON PPR
A.Thielen
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR@ATLW11 2025 | CAR 30, ATL 27 | CAR | W |
| ATL@CARW3 2025 | ATL 0, CAR 30 | ATL | L |
| CAR@ATLW18 2024 | CAR 44, ATL 38 | ATL | L |
| ATL@CARW15 2023 | ATL 7, CAR 9 | ATL | L |
| CAR@ATLW1 2023 | CAR 10, ATL 24 | ATL | W |
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES