2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CIN @ NYG – Week 6 2024
CIN
NYG
CIN
AWAY
17@7
CIN +10
FINAL · WEEK 6
2024 SEASON
NYG
HOME
TIER C
PICK: NYG
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: NYG 50%Projected margin: 0.1
NYG
PICK SIDE
+4.5
SPREAD
0.1
PROJ MARGIN
+191
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NYG C-tier pick misses. CIN takes it.
MISSED
Model picked NYG but CIN won. Projected margin was 0.1 -- the model overestimated by 10.1 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 5.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +4.5 | NYG market line | |
| MODEL ML | +191 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +190 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CIN
road_favorite 5-1 ATS (83%)Road Favorite 5-1 ATS (83%)
NYG
home_underdog 3-6 ATS (33%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 3-6 ATS (33%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
63°F
WIND
2 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
CIN
J.Chase
WR
403.0SEASON PPR
J.Burrow
QB
372.8SEASON PPR
C.Brown
RB
255.0SEASON PPR
NYG
M.Nabers
WR
273.6SEASON PPR
W.Robinson
WR
182.7SEASON PPR
T.Tracy
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@CINW12 2020 | NYG 19, CIN 17 | NYG | W |
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES