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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

WAS

BAL

WAS

AWAY

23@30

BAL +7

FINAL · WEEK 6

2024 SEASON

BAL

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TEAM COMPARISON

WAS	METRIC	BAL
+0.093	NET EPA/PLAY	+0.258
+0.132	OFF EPA/PLAY	+0.219
+0.039	DEF EPA/PLAY	-0.039
576	POINTS FOR	571
497	POINTS AGAINST	402
53.3%	PASS RATE	47.0%
82.6%	RED ZONE TD%	95.7%
28.4%	4TH DOWN GO%	15.5%

WASANALYTICS →BALANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+6.5		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

46.7

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

WAS

No noteworthy trends

BAL

road_favorite 6-2 ATS (75%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

OUTDOOR

TEMP

75°F

WIND

8 MPH

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

WAS

J.Daniels

QB

355.8PPR

T.McLaurin

WR

267.8PPR

Z.Ertz

TE

177.4PPR

BAL

L.Jackson

QB

430.4PPR

D.Henry

RB

336.4PPR

Z.Flowers

WR

209.5PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 6

WAS4 LISTED

Tyler Owens

S · Shin

OUT

Efe Obada

DE · Tibia

QUESTIONABLE

Brian Robinson

RB · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Jordan Magee

LB · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

BAL8 LISTED

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
BAL@WASW4 2020	BAL 31, WAS 17

FULL COMPARISON →

WAS ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

BAL ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES

CLE@PHI

16-20

ARI@GB

13-34

JAX@CHI

16-35

DET@DAL

47-9

IND@TEN

20-17

BUF@NYJ

23-20

HOU@NE

41-21

← WEEK 6 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Malik Harrison

LB · Groin

OUT

Arthur Maulet

CB · Knee

OUT

Broderick Washington

DE · Knee

OUT

Sala Aumavae-Laulu

G · Back

QUESTIONABLE

Ronnie Stanley

T · Toe

QUESTIONABLE

Rasheen Ali

RB · Neck

QUESTIONABLE

Marlon Humphrey

CB · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

Deonte Harty

WR · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

BAL SCHEME RATES

19 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

30.7%

BLITZ RATE

34.3%

MOTION

37.9%

RPO

2.0%

SCREEN

10.1%

NO HUDDLE

4.4%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.2

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

WAS ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

11.9%

DROP %

7.4%

PRESSURE %

17.7%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.7

YAC/ATT

1.9

BROKEN TACKLES

34

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

68.1%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

87.7

MISSED TACKLE %

9.9%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

WAS SCHEME RATES

20 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

32.0%

BLITZ RATE

31.2%

MOTION

34.2%

RPO

4.1%

SCREEN

13.3%

NO HUDDLE

52.3%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

64.1%

Lamar JacksonBAL

TIME TO THROW

2.84s

Jayden DanielsWAS

SEPARATION

4.8 yds

Olamide ZaccheausWAS

RUSH EFFICIENCY

3.3

Derrick HenryBAL

AGGRESSIVENESS

28.6%

Jayden DanielsWAS

AVG YAC

9.5 yds

Zay FlowersBAL

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

BAL ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

12.4%

DROP %

5.4%

PRESSURE %

21.8%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.0

YAC/ATT

2.3

BROKEN TACKLES

64

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

69.6%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

87.4

MISSED TACKLE %

9.7%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

WAS @ BAL – Week 6 2024