2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
WAS @ BAL – Week 6 2024
WAS
BAL
WAS
AWAY
23@30
BAL +7
FINAL · WEEK 6
2024 SEASON
BAL
HOME
TIER A
PICK: BAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: BAL 71%Projected margin: 6.9
BAL
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
6.9
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
BAL A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected BAL by 6.9. Actual: 7 points. The model was within 0.1 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 0.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | BAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -285 | Won · +$0.39 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
No noteworthy trends
BAL
road_favorite 6-2 ATS (75%)Road Favorite 6-2 ATS (75%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
75°F
WIND
8 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
WAS
J.Daniels
QB
355.8SEASON PPR
T.McLaurin
WR
267.8SEASON PPR
Z.Ertz
TE
177.4SEASON PPR
BAL
L.Jackson
QB
430.4SEASON PPR
D.Henry
RB
336.4SEASON PPR
Z.Flowers
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL@WASW4 2020 | BAL 31, WAS 17 | BAL | W |
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES