2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CHI @ KC – Week 3 2023
CHI
KC
CHI
AWAY
10@41
KC +31
FINAL · WEEK 3
2023 SEASON
KC
HOME
TIER S
PICK: KC
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: KC 86%Projected margin: 14.1
KC
PICK SIDE
-13.0
SPREAD
14.1
PROJ MARGIN
-649
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
KC S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked KC. Projected margin: 14.1. Actual: 31. Off by 16.9 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 18.0 points.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -13.0 | KC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -649 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -750 | Won · +$0.15 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CHI
No noteworthy trends
KC
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
CHI
DJ Moore
WR
286.5SEASON PPR
Justin Fields
QB
230.2SEASON PPR
Cole Kmet
TE
181.1SEASON PPR
KC
Patrick Mahomes
QB
280.2SEASON PPR
Travis Kelce
TE
219.4SEASON PPR
Isiah Pacheco
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES