2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DET @ LA – Week 7 2021
DET
LA
DET
AWAY
19@28
LA +9
FINAL · WEEK 7
2021 SEASON
LA
HOME
TIER S
PICK: LA
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: LA 77%Projected margin: 12.1
LA
PICK SIDE
-17.0
SPREAD
12.1
PROJ MARGIN
-1155
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LA S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LA. Projected margin: 12.1. Actual: 9. Off by 3.1 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 8.0 points.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -17.0 | LA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -1155 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -1256 | Won · +$0.09 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DET
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)
LA
Road Favorite 3-5 ATS (38%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR
227.3SEASON PPR
D'Andre Swift
RB
208.9SEASON PPR
Jared Goff
QB
194.5SEASON PPR
LA
Cooper Kupp
WR
439.5SEASON PPR
Matthew Stafford
QB
329.7SEASON PPR
Van Jefferson
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET@LAW15 2025 | DET 34, LA 41 | LA | W |
| LA@DETW1 2024 | LA 20, DET 26 | DET | W |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES