2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ DEN – Week 13 2024
CLE
DEN
CLE
AWAY
32@41
DEN +9
FINAL · WEEK 13
2024 SEASON
DEN
HOME
TIER A
PICK: DEN
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DEN 72%Projected margin: 6.8
DEN
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
6.8
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DEN A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected DEN by 6.8. Actual: 9 points. The model was within 2.2 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 2.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | DEN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -290 | Won · +$0.39 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)home_underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)Home Underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)
DEN
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
48°F
WIND
4 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
CLE
J.Jeudy
WR
240.9SEASON PPR
D.Njoku
TE
148.5SEASON PPR
J.Ford
RB
134.0SEASON PPR
DEN
B.Nix
QB
317.2SEASON PPR
C.Sutton
WR
240.3SEASON PPR
J.Williams
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@DENW12 2023 | CLE 12, DEN 29 | CLE | L |
| DEN@CLEW7 2021 | DEN 14, CLE 17 | CLE | W |
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES