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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

PHI

BAL

PHI

AWAY

24@19

PHI +5

FINAL · WEEK 13

2024 SEASON

BAL

HOME

PRO PICK

THE PICK FOR THIS GAME IS LOCKED

Our team, side, tier, confidence and projected margin for PHI @ BAL are part of NoPunt Pro. One free Pick of the Week is open to everyone — the rest unlock with Pro.

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TEAM COMPARISON

PHI	METRIC	BAL
+0.223	NET EPA/PLAY	+0.258
+0.119	OFF EPA/PLAY	+0.219
-0.104	DEF EPA/PLAY	-0.039
608	POINTS FOR	571
380	POINTS AGAINST	402
44.6%	PASS RATE	47.0%
95.0%	RED ZONE TD%	95.7%
21.4%	4TH DOWN GO%	15.5%

PHIANALYTICS →BALANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+3.0		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

46.6

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

PHI

divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)

BAL

road_favorite 6-2 ATS (75%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

OUTDOOR

TEMP

41°F

WIND

7 MPH

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

PHI

S.Barkley

RB

355.3PPR

J.Hurts

QB

315.1PPR

A.Brown

WR

216.9PPR

BAL

L.Jackson

QB

430.4PPR

D.Henry

RB

336.4PPR

Z.Flowers

WR

209.5PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 13

PHI5 LISTED

Darius Slay

CB · Concussion

OUT

Ben VanSumeren

LB · Knee

OUT

DeVonta Smith

WR · Hamstring

QUESTIONABLE

Sydney Brown

S · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Johnny Wilson

WR · Hamstring

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
BAL@PHIW6 2020	BAL 30, PHI 28

FULL COMPARISON →

PHI ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

BAL ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES

CLE@DEN

32-41

TEN@WAS

19-42

NYG@DAL

20-27

MIA@GB

17-30

LAC@ATL

17-13

ARI@MIN

22-23

LA@NO

21-14

← WEEK 13 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

BAL5 LISTED

Kyle Van Noy

LB · Hamstring

DOUBTFUL

Arthur Maulet

CB · Calf

OUT

Charlie Kolar

TE · Forearm

OUT

Michael Pierce

DT · Calf

QUESTIONABLE

T.J. Tampa

CB · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

BAL SCHEME RATES

19 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

30.7%

BLITZ RATE

34.3%

MOTION

37.9%

RPO

2.0%

SCREEN

10.1%

NO HUDDLE

4.4%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.2

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

66.0%

Lamar JacksonBAL

TIME TO THROW

2.96s

Jalen HurtsPHI

SEPARATION

5.0 yds

Isaiah LikelyBAL

RUSH EFFICIENCY

3.6

Saquon BarkleyPHI

AGGRESSIVENESS

15.8%

Jalen HurtsPHI

AVG YAC

4.8 yds

Zay FlowersBAL

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

PHI SCHEME RATES

21 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

28.9%

BLITZ RATE

32.9%

MOTION

36.0%

RPO

3.0%

SCREEN

7.7%

NO HUDDLE

20.9%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.4

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

PHI ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

22.9%

DROP %

1.6%

PRESSURE %

23.2%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.0

YAC/ATT

1.6

BROKEN TACKLES

47

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

64.7%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

81.5

MISSED TACKLE %

10.3%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

BAL ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

12.4%

DROP %

5.4%

PRESSURE %

21.8%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.0

YAC/ATT

2.3

BROKEN TACKLES

64

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

69.6%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

87.4

MISSED TACKLE %

9.7%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

PHI @ BAL – Week 13 2024