TIER CPICK: PIT
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PIT 58%Projected margin: -1.4
GAME NARRATIVE
PIT C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PIT. Projected margin: 1.4. Actual: 6. Off by 4.6 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 9.0 points.
COLD GAME
32°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PIT
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
CIN
road_favorite 5-1 ATS (83%)Road Favorite 5-1 ATS (83%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
PIT3 LISTEDMontravius Adams
DT · Knee
OUT
CIN4 LISTEDSheldon Rankins
DT · Illness
OUT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS