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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

BUF

AWAY

10@35

BUF +25

FINAL · WEEK 13

2024 SEASON

BUF

HOME

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THE PICK FOR THIS GAME IS LOCKED

Our team, side, tier, confidence and projected margin for SF @ BUF are part of NoPunt Pro. One free Pick of the Week is open to everyone — the rest unlock with Pro.

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TEAM COMPARISON

SF	METRIC	BUF
+0.028	NET EPA/PLAY	+0.181
+0.069	OFF EPA/PLAY	+0.190
+0.041	DEF EPA/PLAY	+0.009
389	POINTS FOR	612
436	POINTS AGAINST	432
55.6%	PASS RATE	51.8%
81.8%	RED ZONE TD%	95.5%
15.4%	4TH DOWN GO%	24.6%

SFANALYTICS →BUFANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+6.5		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

47.2

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

SF

road_favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)

BUF

road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

OUTDOOR

TEMP

28°F

WIND

11 MPH

COLD GAME

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

SF

B.Purdy

QB

266.9PPR

G.Kittle

TE

236.6PPR

J.Jennings

WR

210.5PPR

BUF

J.Allen

QB

372.3PPR

J.Cook

RB

266.7PPR

K.Shakir

WR

182.5PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 13

SF11 LISTED

Trent Williams

T · Ankle

OUT

Dre Greenlaw

LB · Achilles

OUT

Nick Bosa

DE · Hip

OUT

Jordan Elliott

DT · Concussion

OUT

Aaron Banks

G · Concussion

OUT

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
BUF@SFW13 2020	BUF 34, SF 24

FULL COMPARISON →

SF ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

BUF ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES

CLE@DEN

32-41

TEN@WAS

19-42

NYG@DAL

20-27

MIA@GB

17-30

PHI@BAL

24-19

LAC@ATL

17-13

ARI@MIN

22-23

← WEEK 13 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Deommodore Lenoir

CB · Knee

OUT

Chris Conley

WR · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Renardo Green

CB · Neck

QUESTIONABLE

Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles

LB · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Kevin Givens

DT · Groin

QUESTIONABLE

Brock Purdy

QB · Right Shoulder

QUESTIONABLE

BUF5 LISTED

Dalton Kincaid

TE · Knee

OUT

Tylan Grable

T · Groin

OUT

Matt Milano

LB · Biceps

QUESTIONABLE

DeWayne Carter

DT · Wrist

QUESTIONABLE

Keon Coleman

WR · Wrist

QUESTIONABLE

BUF SCHEME RATES

20 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

22.4%

BLITZ RATE

28.2%

MOTION

41.8%

RPO

4.7%

SCREEN

12.6%

NO HUDDLE

6.2%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

SF SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

22.4%

BLITZ RATE

30.5%

MOTION

55.6%

RPO

0.6%

SCREEN

8.4%

NO HUDDLE

2.9%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

SF ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

18.4%

DROP %

4.3%

PRESSURE %

16.8%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.0

YAC/ATT

1.7

BROKEN TACKLES

24

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

68.6%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

86.0

MISSED TACKLE %

11.2%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

75.3%

Brock PurdySF

TIME TO THROW

2.78s

Brock PurdySF

SEPARATION

5.3 yds

Deebo Samuel Sr.SF

RUSH EFFICIENCY

2.4

James CookBUF

AGGRESSIVENESS

11.8%

Josh AllenBUF

AVG YAC

6.9 yds

Jauan JenningsSF

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

BUF ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

16.3%

DROP %

3.6%

PRESSURE %

13.6%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.2

YAC/ATT

1.8

BROKEN TACKLES

39

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

69.7%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

88.1

MISSED TACKLE %

9.5%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

SF @ BUF – Week 13 2024