2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LAC @ CLE – Week 9 2024
LAC
CLE
LAC
AWAY
27@10
LAC +17
FINAL · WEEK 9
2024 SEASON
CLE
HOME
TIER C
PICK: LAC
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: LAC 60%Projected margin: -0.3
LAC
PICK SIDE
-2.0
SPREAD
-0.3
PROJ MARGIN
-133
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LAC. Projected margin: 0.3. Actual: 17. Off by 16.7 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 15.0 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.0 | LAC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -133 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -130 | Won · +$0.75 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LAC
divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)road_favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)Road Favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)
CLE
divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)home_underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)Home Underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
57°F
WIND
10 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
LAC
J.Herbert
QB
285.4SEASON PPR
L.McConkey
WR
240.9SEASON PPR
J.Dobbins
RB
191.8SEASON PPR
CLE
J.Jeudy
WR
240.9SEASON PPR
D.Njoku
TE
148.5SEASON PPR
J.Ford
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@CLEW5 2022 | LAC 30, CLE 28 | CLE | L |
| CLE@LACW5 2021 | CLE 42, LAC 47 | CLE | L |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES