2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NO @ LV – Week 2 2020
NO
LV
NO
AWAY
24@34
LV +10
FINAL · WEEK 2
2020 SEASON
LV
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: NO
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: NO 63%Projected margin: -7.1
NO
PICK SIDE
-4.0
SPREAD
-7.1
PROJ MARGIN
-178
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NO A+-tier pick misses. LV takes it.
MISSED
Model picked NO but LV won. Projected margin was 7.1 -- the model overestimated by 17.1 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 14.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.0 | NO market line | |
| MODEL ML | -178 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NO
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
LV
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Road Favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
NO
Alvin Kamara
RB
377.8SEASON PPR
Drew Brees
QB
209.5SEASON PPR
Emmanuel Sanders
WR
164.8SEASON PPR
LV
Darren Waller
TE
278.6SEASON PPR
Derek Carr
QB
272.1SEASON PPR
Josh Jacobs
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LV@NOW17 2024 | LV 25, NO 10 | NO | L |
| LV@NOW8 2022 | LV 0, NO 24 | LV | L |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES