Giants vs Bears – Week 2 2020
NYG
CHI
NYG
AWAY
13@17
CHI BY 4
FINAL · WEEK 2
2020 SEASON
Soldier Field · Chicago, IL
CHI
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New York Giants 13, Chicago Bears 17.
Going in, our model had favored Chicago Bears at 59% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 1 Giants.
Model confidence: CHI 59%Our line: CHI -3.0
ODDS
SPREAD
CHI -4.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
CHI -3.0
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
CHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
59%
CHI · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
68%
DIFFERENCE
-9%
| SOURCE | NYG | CHI | CHI WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closing line | +196 | -222 | 67.6% |
WIN % is each book’s odds as a win chance, with the book’s cut taken out. The card above is their average.
TEAM COMPARISON2020 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 2
-0.086Net EPA / play-0.033
-0.056 (27)Offense EPA / play-0.028 (24)
+0.031 (16)Defense EPA / play+0.006 (10)
41.6% (27)Offense success %43.6% (22)
GAME NARRATIVE
CHI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected CHI by 3.0. Actual: 4 points. The model was within 1.0 points of the real margin.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 0.5 points, a bad-beat loss.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
NYG
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
CHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
66°F
WIND
12 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
CHI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2020 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@CHIW10 2025 | NYG 20, CHI 24 | CHI | W |
| CHI@NYGW4 2022 | CHI 12, NYG 20 | CHI | L |
| NYG@CHIW17 2021 | NYG 3, CHI 29 | CHI | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs CHI
Our model takes Chicago Bears at 59% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project CHI by 3.0. The market has CHI at -4.5.
Chicago Bears won, NYG 13, CHI 17. Our model had favored Chicago Bears at 59% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Chicago Bears at -4.5, meaning the book expects Chicago Bears to win by 4.5 points.
In Week 2, the New York Giants were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful).
Week 2 of the 2020 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Chicago Bears, NYG 20, CHI 24 in Week 10 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2020 season, Chicago Bears: NYG -0.086 against CHI -0.033.
