2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
GB @ DEN – Week 15 2025
GB
DEN
GB
AWAY
26@34
DEN +8
FINAL · WEEK 15
2025 SEASON
DEN
HOME
TIER C
PICK: DEN
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DEN 64%Projected margin: 3.2
DEN
PICK SIDE
+1.5
SPREAD
3.2
PROJ MARGIN
+124
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DEN C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DEN. Projected margin: 3.2. Actual: 8. Off by 4.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 9.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.5 | DEN market line | |
| MODEL ML | +124 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +124 | Won · +$1.24 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Road Favorite 1-5 ATS (17%)
DEN
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)Road Favorite 0-5 ATS (0%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
65°F
WIND
3 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
GB
J.Jacobs
RB
237.1SEASON PPR
J.Love
QB
235.1SEASON PPR
R.Doubs
WR
165.4SEASON PPR
DEN
B.Nix
QB
304.8SEASON PPR
C.Sutton
WR
219.7SEASON PPR
R.Harvey
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@DENW7 2023 | GB 17, DEN 19 | GB | L |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES