2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LV @ PHI – Week 15 2025
LV
PHI
LV
AWAY
0@31
PHI +31
FINAL · WEEK 15
2025 SEASON
PHI
HOME
TIER S
PICK: PHI
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PHI 84%Projected margin: 12.3
PHI
PICK SIDE
-12.5
SPREAD
12.3
PROJ MARGIN
-604
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PHI. Projected margin: 12.3. Actual: 31. Off by 18.7 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 18.5 points.
HIGH WIND
20 MPH winds and 30°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -12.5 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -604 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.17 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LV
No noteworthy trends
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
30°F
WIND
20 MPH
COLD GAMEWINDY
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
LV
A.Jeanty
RB
245.1SEASON PPR
B.Bowers
TE
176.2SEASON PPR
G.Smith
QB
173.9SEASON PPR
PHI
J.Hurts
QB
301.1SEASON PPR
S.Barkley
RB
232.3SEASON PPR
A.Brown
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@LVW7 2021 | PHI 22, LV 33 | LV | W |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES