Raiders vs Eagles – Week 15 2025
LV
PHI
LV
AWAY
0@31
PHI BY 31
FINAL · WEEK 15
2025 SEASON
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
PHI
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Las Vegas Raiders 0, Philadelphia Eagles 31.
Going in, our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 84% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 3 Raiders, 2 Eagles.
Model confidence: PHI 84%Our line: PHI -13.2
ODDS
SPREAD
PHI -12.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PHI -13.2
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
PHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 15
-0.240Net EPA / play+0.105
-0.215 (32)Offense EPA / play+0.026 (15)
+0.024 (21)Defense EPA / play-0.079 (8)
37.6% (30)Offense success %43.1% (20)
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PHI. Projected margin: 13.2. Actual: 31. Off by 17.8 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 18.5 points.
HIGH WIND
20 MPH winds and 30°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
LV
No noteworthy trends
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
30°F
WIND
20 MPH
COLD GAMEWINDY
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSLV vs PHI
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 84% win probability, a Tier S pick. The margin models project PHI by 13.2. The market has PHI at -12.5.
Philadelphia Eagles won, LV 0, PHI 31. Our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 84% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Philadelphia Eagles at -12.5, meaning the book expects Philadelphia Eagles to win by 12.5 points.
In Week 15, the Las Vegas Raiders were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Philadelphia Eagles were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 37.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 45.4, 7.9 above the market.
Week 15 of the 2025 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Las Vegas Raiders, PHI 22, LV 33 in Week 7 of 2021.
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Philadelphia Eagles: LV -0.240 against PHI +0.105.
