2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
JAX @ GB – Week 10 2020
JAX
GB
JAX
AWAY
20@24
GB +4
FINAL · WEEK 10
2020 SEASON
GB
HOME
TIER S
PICK: GB
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: GB 74%Projected margin: 11.9
GB
PICK SIDE
-13.5
SPREAD
11.9
PROJ MARGIN
-698
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked GB. Projected margin: 11.9. Actual: 4. Off by 7.9 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 9.5 points.
HIGH WIND
23 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -13.5 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -698 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -893 | Won · +$0.14 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
JAX
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Cold Weather 3-2 ATS (60%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
38°F
WIND
23 MPH
WINDY
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
JAX
James Robinson
RB
250.4SEASON PPR
Gardner Minshew
QB
160.7SEASON PPR
Laviska Shenault Jr.
WR
157.1SEASON PPR
GB
Aaron Rodgers
QB
383.3SEASON PPR
Davante Adams
WR
358.4SEASON PPR
Aaron Jones
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@JAXW8 2024 | GB 30, JAX 27 | GB | W |
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES