Eagles vs Giants – Week 10 2020
PHI
NYG
PHI
AWAY
17@27
NYG BY 10
FINAL · WEEK 10
2020 SEASON
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
NYG
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Philadelphia Eagles 17, New York Giants 27.
Going in, our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 55% win probability, and the pick lost.
Out or doubtful: 1 Eagles, 1 Giants.
Model confidence: PHI 55%Our line: PHI -1.7
ODDS
SPREAD
PHI -4.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PHI -1.7
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
PHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
55%
TEAM COMPARISON2020 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 10
-0.107Net EPA / play-0.086
-0.089 (30)Offense EPA / play-0.056 (27)
+0.018 (13)Defense EPA / play+0.031 (16)
40.6% (30)Offense success %41.6% (27)
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick misses. NYG takes it.
MISSED
Model picked PHI but NYG won. Projected margin was 1.7, the model overestimated by 11.7 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 14.5 points.
HIGH WIND
18 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
NYG
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
56°F
WIND
18 MPH
WINDY
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
PHI
Carson Wentz
QB
198.4 SEASON PPR
Miles Sanders
RB
170.4 SEASON PPR
Greg Ward
WR
133.1 SEASON PPR
NYG
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2020 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Philadelphia EaglesPASSING
Carson Wentz2620 yd · 16 TD · 15 INT
RECEIVING
Travis Fulgham38 rec · 539 yd · 4 TD
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@PHIW8 2025 | NYG 20, PHI 38 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW6 2025 | PHI 17, NYG 34 | PHI | L |
| NYG@PHIW18 2024 | NYG 13, PHI 20 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW7 2024 | PHI 28, NYG 3 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW18 2023 | PHI 10, NYG 27 | PHI | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSPHI vs NYG
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 55% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project PHI by 1.7. The market has PHI at -4.5.
New York Giants won, PHI 17, NYG 27. Our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 55% win probability, and the pick lost.
The market has Philadelphia Eagles at -4.5, meaning the book expects Philadelphia Eagles to win by 4.5 points.
In Week 10, the Philadelphia Eagles were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful) and the New York Giants were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 45.0 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.3, 1.3 above the market.
Week 10 of the 2020 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Philadelphia Eagles, NYG 20, PHI 38 in Week 8 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2020 season, New York Giants: PHI -0.107 against NYG -0.086.
