2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PHI @ NYG – Week 10 2020
PHI
NYG
PHI
AWAY
17@27
NYG +10
FINAL · WEEK 10
2020 SEASON
NYG
HOME
TIER B
PICK: PHI
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: PHI 55%Projected margin: -1.9
PHI
PICK SIDE
-4.5
SPREAD
-1.9
PROJ MARGIN
-191
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick misses. NYG takes it.
MISSED
Model picked PHI but NYG won. Projected margin was 1.9 -- the model overestimated by 11.9 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 14.5 points.
HIGH WIND
18 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.5 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -191 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -219 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
NYG
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
56°F
WIND
18 MPH
WINDY
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
PHI
Carson Wentz
QB
198.4SEASON PPR
Miles Sanders
RB
170.4SEASON PPR
Greg Ward
WR
133.1SEASON PPR
NYG
Daniel Jones
QB
180.0SEASON PPR
Sterling Shepard
WR
162.5SEASON PPR
Evan Engram
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@PHIW8 2025 | NYG 20, PHI 38 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW6 2025 | PHI 17, NYG 34 | PHI | L |
| NYG@PHIW18 2024 | NYG 13, PHI 20 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW7 2024 | PHI 28, NYG 3 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW18 2023 | PHI 10, NYG 27 | PHI | L |
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES