2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LA @ KC – Week 12 2022
LA
KC
LA
AWAY
10@26
KC +16
FINAL · WEEK 12
2022 SEASON
KC
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: KC
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: KC 77%Projected margin: 9.3
KC
PICK SIDE
-16.5
SPREAD
9.3
PROJ MARGIN
-1075
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
KC A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked KC. Projected margin: 9.3. Actual: 16. Off by 6.7 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 0.5 points -- a bad-beat loss.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -16.5 | KC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -1075 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -1088 | Won · +$0.09 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LA
Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
KC
Road Favorite 3-5 ATS (38%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
44°F
WIND
6 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
LA
Cooper Kupp
WR
201.4SEASON PPR
Tyler Higbee
TE
152.0SEASON PPR
Cam Akers
RB
141.3SEASON PPR
KC
Patrick Mahomes
QB
417.4SEASON PPR
Travis Kelce
TE
316.3SEASON PPR
Jerick McKinnon
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 12
WEEK 12 · OTHER GAMES