2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CAR @ DEN – Week 8 2024
CAR
DEN
CAR
AWAY
14@28
DEN +14
FINAL · WEEK 8
2024 SEASON
DEN
HOME
TIER S
PICK: DEN
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DEN 78%Projected margin: 10.9
DEN
PICK SIDE
-13.0
SPREAD
10.9
PROJ MARGIN
-649
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DEN S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DEN. Projected margin: 10.9. Actual: 14. Off by 3.1 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 1.0 points.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -13.0 | DEN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -649 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -750 | Won · +$0.15 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CAR
home_underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)Home Underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)
DEN
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
76°F
WIND
4 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
CAR
C.Hubbard
RB
241.6SEASON PPR
B.Young
QB
195.0SEASON PPR
A.Thielen
WR
130.8SEASON PPR
DEN
B.Nix
QB
317.2SEASON PPR
C.Sutton
WR
240.3SEASON PPR
J.Williams
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN@CARW12 2022 | DEN 10, CAR 23 | DEN | L |
| DEN@CARW14 2020 | DEN 32, CAR 27 | DEN | W |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES