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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

ARI

MIA

ARI

AWAY

28@27

ARI +1

FINAL · WEEK 8

2024 SEASON

MIA

HOME

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TEAM COMPARISON

ARI	METRIC	MIA
+0.011	NET EPA/PLAY	-0.017
+0.067	OFF EPA/PLAY	-0.039
+0.056	DEF EPA/PLAY	-0.022
400	POINTS FOR	345
379	POINTS AGAINST	364
55.5%	PASS RATE	59.0%
76.2%	RED ZONE TD%	81.0%
17.5%	4TH DOWN GO%	24.8%

ARIANALYTICS →MIAANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+4.0		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

44.1

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

ARI

divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)

MIA

No noteworthy trends

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

OUTDOOR

TEMP

82°F

WIND

14 MPH

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

ARI

K.Murray

QB

297.2PPR

J.Conner

RB

253.8PPR

T.McBride

TE

243.8PPR

MIA

D.Achane

RB

299.9PPR

J.Smith

TE

222.3PPR

T.Hill

WR

218.2PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 8

ARI4 LISTED

Sean Murphy-Bunting

CB · Neck

OUT

Roy Lopez

DT · Ankle

OUT

Darius Robinson

DT · Not injury related - personal matter

OUT

Kelvin Beachum

T · Groin

QUESTIONABLE

MIA5 LISTED

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
MIA@ARIW9 2020	MIA 34, ARI 31

FULL COMPARISON →

ARI ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

MIA ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES

NYG@PIT

18-26

KC@LV

27-20

BAL@CLE

24-29

NO@LAC

8-26

ATL@TB

31-26

DAL@SF

24-30

MIN@LA

20-30

← WEEK 8 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Storm Duck

CB · Ankle

DOUBTFUL

Zach Sieler

DT · Eye

OUT

Kader Kohou

CB · Neck

OUT

Tyreek Hill

WR · Foot

QUESTIONABLE

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Concussion

QUESTIONABLE

ARI SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

31.4%

BLITZ RATE

25.6%

MOTION

28.8%

RPO

1.1%

SCREEN

8.3%

NO HUDDLE

8.6%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.1

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

69.9%

Tua TagovailoaMIA

TIME TO THROW

2.28s

Tua TagovailoaMIA

SEPARATION

3.6 yds

Jaylen WaddleMIA

RUSH EFFICIENCY

2.2

De'Von AchaneMIA

AGGRESSIVENESS

18.4%

Tua TagovailoaMIA

AVG YAC

5.9 yds

Jaylen WaddleMIA

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

MIA SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

26.8%

BLITZ RATE

18.4%

MOTION

61.9%

RPO

1.5%

SCREEN

14.7%

NO HUDDLE

5.2%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.2

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

MIA ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

13.6%

DROP %

4.9%

PRESSURE %

19.0%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.3

YAC/ATT

1.3

BROKEN TACKLES

13

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

62.9%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

82.7

MISSED TACKLE %

10.0%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

ARI ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

11.2%

DROP %

3.4%

PRESSURE %

14.2%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.5

YAC/ATT

2.3

BROKEN TACKLES

33

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

76.3%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

92.0

MISSED TACKLE %

11.0%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

ARI @ MIA – Week 8 2024