2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NO @ LAC – Week 8 2024
NO
LAC
NO
AWAY
8@26
LAC +18
FINAL · WEEK 8
2024 SEASON
LAC
HOME
TIER C
PICK: LAC
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: LAC 59%Projected margin: 0.8
LAC
PICK SIDE
-7.0
SPREAD
0.8
PROJ MARGIN
-274
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LAC. Projected margin: 0.8. Actual: 18. Off by 17.2 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 11.0 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.0 | LAC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -274 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -310 | Won · +$0.36 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NO
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
LAC
divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)road_favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)Road Favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
NO
A.Kamara
RB
265.3SEASON PPR
D.Carr
QB
150.9SEASON PPR
J.Johnson
TE
122.8SEASON PPR
LAC
J.Herbert
QB
285.4SEASON PPR
L.McConkey
WR
240.9SEASON PPR
J.Dobbins
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@NOW5 2020 | LAC 27, NO 30 | NO | W |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES