Giants vs Steelers – Week 8 2024
NYG
PIT
NYG
AWAY
18@26
PIT BY 8
FINAL · WEEK 8
2024 SEASON
Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PA
PIT
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New York Giants 18, Pittsburgh Steelers 26.
Going in, our model had favored Pittsburgh Steelers at 74% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 4 Giants, 6 Steelers.
Model confidence: PIT 74%Our line: PIT -8.6
ODDS
SPREAD
PIT -6.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PIT -8.6
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
PIT · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
74%
TEAM COMPARISON2024 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 8
-0.170Net EPA / play-0.016
-0.107 (28)Offense EPA / play-0.034 (20)
+0.063 (28)Defense EPA / play-0.018 (10)
40.5% (25)Offense success %40.4% (27)
GAME NARRATIVE
PIT A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected PIT by 8.6. Actual: 8 points. The model was within 0.6 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 10 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 2.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
NYG
home_underdog 3-6 ATS (33%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 3-6 ATS (33%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
PIT
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
54°F
WIND
7 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
PIT
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2024 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@NYGW1 2020 | PIT 26, NYG 16 | PIT | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs PIT
Our model takes Pittsburgh Steelers at 74% win probability, a Tier A+ pick. The margin models project PIT by 8.6. The market has PIT at -6.0.
Pittsburgh Steelers won, NYG 18, PIT 26. Our model had favored Pittsburgh Steelers at 74% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Pittsburgh Steelers at -6.0, meaning the book expects Pittsburgh Steelers to win by 6.0 points.
In Week 8, the New York Giants were without 4 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Pittsburgh Steelers were without 6 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 37.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.7, 9.2 above the market.
Week 8 of the 2024 season, MON 8:15 PM.
Pittsburgh Steelers, PIT 26, NYG 16 in Week 1 of 2020.
By net EPA per play over the 2024 season, Pittsburgh Steelers: NYG -0.170 against PIT -0.016.
